Cash Flow v. Appreciation
Posted by Monte Davis on Thursday, September 9th, 2010 at 11:30am.
- What are my
investment goals?
- Do I need
"cash flow" or appreciation?
- How much cash
do I have to invest?
- How much cash
do I have in reserve?
So, out of that,
when the seminars are planned and the books are written, where does the
emphasis fall? Cash flow. Nobody goes to a seminar to learn about negative cash
flow and positive appreciation. They pay $99 to learn how to get "cash
flow."
And yet, at the
end of the day, those investors that buy in areas that have good appreciation
do better than those who concentrate exclusively on cash flow. Let's explore
that.
Can I get both,
you ask -- cash flow and appreciation? Yes. It's actually pretty simple. Put
more money into the purchase of the property.
However -- you
can't have it all. Appreciation, cash flow, and leverage. They don't mix
If you leverage,
you're using someone else's money. You're giving your cash flow to that person.
If you don't need leverage, then you're going to get all the cash.
These are the
things you have to understand in crafting a purchase and you also need to
understand all the things that can go wrong. Turn over, for instance, can
really hurt you in the rental market.
- If you have
cash flow of $100 per door,
....you've just
eaten up your cash flow for the year.
Anyone can do a
spreadsheet, run a cash flow analysis on a property, and come up with figures
that make you say, "Wow!" However, if you really dig into the rental
history, you're going to find that every 12 to 18 months or so, you have a turn
over. Take that into account and divide it into the cost of the "make
ready." Now take that away from your cash flow calculation.
- Projected cash
flow: $2,000.
- Make ready
cost: $1500
- Actual cash
flow: $500
- Divide by 12-18
months: $30-$40
You've ended up
with a break-even property.
Now, let's think
in terms of appreciation. See that break-even property as a savings account or
a college fund. Right now your kid is 2 or 3 years old. In 15 years, you're
going to sell your property to pay for his tuition. Can you afford $100 a month
for that investment?
Look at it like a
savings, not an expense. Not only are you going to buy this investment, you're
going to have tax benefits and get money back at the end of the year.
Yes, you may have
some months with maintenance and vacancies. You may have to put extra money in,
but -- bottom line? it is a break-even. If the tenants stay in place, they're
paying the note and the expenses.
If the property
has a track record of 5% appreciation -- and there are areas in Austin that
double that -- and we compound that over the years you own the property, you're
going to do very well with this investment. And, in 3 to 5 years, a period over
which rents typically increase, you will start to have cash flow.
My best advice:
Instead of buying two cash flow properties with no appreciation track record,
buy one quality property. I'd rather help you buy that one good investment than
sell you multiple mediocre properties.
The trick always lies in matching your investment goals with the amount of money you have to invest.
Next week, we'll look at the issue of cash, in particular, how you can
use a self-directed IRA to better your cash position.
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[...]understand from the beginning. Other past post that may help are: Leveraging v Cash Purchase; Cash Flow v Appreciation; Single-Family v Multi-Family; and Location Education.Also, get out of the mindset of, "I[...]
Posted on Thursday, June 9th, 2011 at 1:33 PM.